Friday, 1 November 2013

Octobers council by election review

There have been 29 by-elections during October with 5 (17%) changing hands.

Party  Candidates     Seats defended     Seats retained     Seats gained     Seats lost        Seats won        Retention rate   
Conservative            29            11             9
         2            9          82%
Labour          27            10           10            4
          14        100%
Lib Dems          21              5             5            1
            6        100%
UKIP          25





Green          12





SNP            4              2

         2 
            0%
Plaid Cymru            2





Independent *          11              1

         1
            0%
Border            1





BNP            3





English Democrats            1





TUSAC            1





Other (12)          12





Total        149            29           24            5         5          29          83%

* 11 candidates contesting 9 seats

Labour gained 1 seat each from Conservatives and an Independent and 2 seats from SNP,
*  Charnwood, Shepshed West from Conservatives on a 6% / 7% swing from both 2011 and 2007
   - Labour won both seats in 2003, Conservatives gained both in 2007 with a majority of 51 over top Labour and retained both in 2011 with a similar majority of 26
*  East Lindsey, Chapel St Leonards from an Independent on one third of the vote having not contested seat in 2011 and 2007, polling 20% in 2003
*  Glasgow, Govan on a ~7% swing SNP to Labour since 2012 but ~3½% swing Labour to SNP since 2007
*  South Lanarkshire, Hamilton South on little change to shares since 2012 and ~2½% swing Labour to SNP since 2007

Lib Dems gained Carlisle, Dalton from Conservatives with a majority of 30 (2.3%)
- Lib Dems won the seat in 2012 with majority of 28%, 2008 by 10% , 2006 with a 1% majority and 2004 by a majority of 1 vote
- Conservatives won the seat in 2011 with majority of 27%, 2010 by 13%, 2007 by 22%, 2003 by 7% and 2002 by 14%, the resigning councillor elected in 2007 & 2011

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