Vale 0f White Horse, Abingdon Dunmore - Liberal Democrat hold

Vale 0f White Horse, Abingdon Dunmore - Liberal Democrat hold

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2011 "top"	since 2011 "average"	since 2009 B	since 2007 "top"	since 2007 "average"
Liberal Democrat	745	52.4%	+14.7%	+16.5%	-0.3%	-0.2%	-0.1%
Conservative	501	35.2%	-6.1%	-6.3%	-4.6%	-6.0%	-6.0%
UKIP	90	6.3%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Labour	87	6.1%	-4.7%	-5.5%	+3.3%	-0.2%	-0.3%
Green			-10.2%	-11.0%	-4.7%
Total votes	1,423		62%	66%	94%	75%	76%

Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat ~11% since 2011, ~2% since 2009 by-election and ~3% since 2007

Forthcoming Council by elections

There are 12 by-elections remaining during September and another 13 so far in October with one being for two seats. There are a further 23 known vacancies where the election has as yet no date.

11th September - 6
Carlisle BC, Castle - Labour died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Cumbria CC, Castle - Labour died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Newark & Sherwood DC, Collingham & Meering - Conservative died - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP, Ind
Newark & Sherwood DC, Ollerton - Labour died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP
Newham LB, Becton - Labour died - 7 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green, CPA, TUSAC
Valley of White Horse DC, Abingdon Dunmore - Liberal Democrat resigned - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP

18th September - 3
Conwy UA, Abergele Pensarn - Labour resigned - 7 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP, 3 x Ind, No Description
Durham UA, Crook - Independent died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Ind
Oxford BC, Quarry & Risinghurst - Labour resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, Green, English Democrat

25th September - 3
Epping Forest DC, Hemnall - Conservative died - 4 candidates: Con, LD, UKIP, Green
Guildford BC, Lovelace - Conservative died - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP
Somerset CC, Frome North - Liberal Democrat resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, Green, Ind

2nd October - 6 for 7 seats
Cardiff UA, Llandaff North - Labour resigned
Cumbria CC, Windermere - Liberal Democrat died - 4 candidates: Con, LD, Green, Ind
Haringey LB, Woodside - Labour died
South Lakeland DC, Windermere Town - Liberal Domocrat died - 3 candidates: Con, LD, Green
South Northamptonshite DC, Grange Park - 2 Conservatives resigned - 5 candidates: 2 Con, 1 Lab, 2 UKIP
South Tyneside MB, Westoe - Independent died

9th October - 3
Blackpool BC, Waterloo - Conservative died
Chelmsford BC, Bicknacre & East & WestHanningfield - Conservative died
Rushmoor BC, West Heath - UKIP resigned

16th October - 2
Rutland UA, Oakham South West - Conservative resigned
Swale BC, Sheppey Central - Conservative

23rd October - 1
Argyll & Bute UA, Oban North & Lorn - Independent died

30th October - 1
North Ayrshire UA, North Coast - SNP died

Current known vacancies where by-election not yet called - 23
Aberdeenshire UA, Troup - Conservative died 4th September
Bolton MB, Harper Green - Labour died 28th July
Castle Point BC, Canvey Island East - Canvey Island Independent disqualified for non-attendance around 20th May
Conwy UA, Towyn - Conservative died 9th August
Cornwall UA, Mevagisset - Labour resigned around 31st August
Crawley BC, Southgate - Conservative sitting as UKIP resigned 29th August
Dartford BC, Brent - Conservative died early August
Dartford BC, Littlebrook - Labour died 14th August
Durham UA, Burnopfield & Dipton - Derwentside Independent resigned around end of August / beginning of September
Essex CC, Brightlingsea - UKIP resigned 3rd September
Forest of Dean DC, Newnham & Westerley - Independent died 3rd August
Gloucestershire CC, Mitcheldean, Independent died 3rd August
Kingston-upon-Thames LB, Tudor - Conservative resigned 1st September
Mansfield DC, Netherfield - Mansfield Independent Forum died 27th May
Midlothian UA, Midlothian East - Labour sitting as Independent resigned around 11th August
Mid Sussex DC, Haywards Heath Lucastes - Conservative died 6th August
Neath Port Talbot UA, Sandfields East - Labour died 12th March
Rotherham MB, Silverwood - Labour resigned around end of August / beginning of September
Rugby BC, Bilton - Conservative resigned around 29th August
Rutland UA, Whissendine - Independent died 30th August
Shepway DC, Folkestone, Harvey West - Conservative died 25th August
Thurrock BC, West Thurrock & South Stifford - Labour died 12th August
York UA, Westfield - Labour sitting as Liberal Democrat died 22nd August

Surrey Heath, Old Dean - Labour hold

Surrey Heath, Old Dean - Labour hold

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2011 "top"	since 2011 "average"	since 2007 "top"	since 2007 "average"
Labour	290	44.1%	-5.6%	-6.2%	+5.0%	+5.2%
Conservative	196	29.8%	-0.5%	-1.0%	-3.3%	-4.5%
UKIP	171	26.0%	+14.3%	+13.9%	+12.4%	+11.5%
Liberal Democrat			-8.2%	-6.6%	-14.1%	-12.3%
Total votes	657		59%	61%	59%	63%

Swing Labour to Conservative ~2½% since 2011 but Conservative to Labour 4-5% since 2007 

Oxford, Carfax - Labour hold

Oxford, Carfax - Labour hold

Party	2014 B votes	2014 B share	since 2014	since 2012	since 2010	since 2008
Labour	168	44.2%	+15.6%	+11.8%	+23.8%	+26.9%
Liberal Democrat	101	26.6%	+9.0%	+3.3%	-11.0%	-9.2%
Green	63	16.6%	-14.2%	-9.9%	-5.0%	-3.2%
Conservative	24	6.3%	-13.8%	-11.6%	-14.1%	-20.8%
UKIP	24	6.3%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Loony			-2.9%
Total votes	380		24%	43%	15%	36%

Swing Green to Labour ~15% since May 2014 but probably not very meaningful otherwise

Shepway, Folkstone Harvey Central - UKIP gain from Conservative

Shepway, Folkstone Harvey Central - UKIP gain from Conservative

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2011 "top"	since 2011 "average"	since 2007 "top"	since 2007 "average"
UKIP	287	27.9%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Conservative	224	21.7%	-17.3%	-16.9%	-33.8%	-33.5%
Liberal Democrat	198	19.2%	+2.3%	+1.6%	-25.2%	-25.5%
Labour	196	19.0%	-9.1%	-8.1%	from nowhere	from nowhere
Green	96	9.3%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
TUSAC	29	2.8%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Independent			-15.9%	-16.7%
Total votes	1,030		75%	78%	98%	107%

David Callahan (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 287
Rodica Wheeler (The Conservative Party Candidate) 224
Tom McNeice (Liberal Democrat) 198
Wendy Mitchell (Labour Party Candidate) 196
David Horton (The Green Party) 96
Seth Cruse (Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts) 29

A 3 month review of council elections

A big thank you to MiddleEnglander

There were 49 by-elections during June, July and August 2014 with 20 (41%) changing hand or 18 (37%) excluding 2 Lincolnshire Independent (classed as a Resident Group) gains from Independent.   The results can be summarised by:

Party	Candidates	Defended	Retained	Gained	Lost	Won	retention rate
Conservatives	49	14	9	4	5	13	64%
Labour	44	13	12	5	1	17	92%
Liberal Democrats	29	8	4	3	4	7	50%
SNP	2	2			2		0%
Plaid Cymru	1
UKIP	41	3		2	3	2	0%
Green	22	2	1	1	1	2	0%
Resident Groups *	3			3		3
Independents **	21	7	3	2	4	5	43%
No Description	2
Blue	1
BNP	1
British Democrats	1
English Democrats	1
Liberal	1
Mebyon Kernow	2
Patriotic Socialist	1
TUSAC	3
Total	225	49	29	20	20	49	59%

*   Lincolnshire Independents and Its Our County in Herefordshire
** 21 Independents contested 16 seats

The Conservatives contested all the by-elections, Labour 90% and the Liberal Democrats 59% with UKIP contesting 84% and Greens 45%.

Although 20 seats changed hands during the three months, just 5 were between Conservatives, Labour and Liberal Democrats
- Conservatives gain Broadland, Wroxham from Liberal Democrats
- Labour gain Charnwood, Thurmaston from the Conservatives and Craven, Skipton West from the Liberal Democrats
- Liberal Democrats gain Cornwall, Illogan and Maidstone, Staplehurst from the Conservatives

Conservatives gain seats from Liberal Democrat in Broadland, Independent in East Cambridgeshire, Green in Kings Lynn & West Norfolk and UKIP in Cornwall
- whilst losing 2 seats to the Liberal Democrats in Cornwall & Maidstone and 1 to Labour in Charnwood and 1 each to Green & Its Our County in Herefordshire

Labour gain seats from Conservatives in Charnwood, Liberal Democrats in Craven, SNP in South Lanarkshire and 2 from UKIP in Merthyr Tydfil & Redditch
- whilst losing a seat to UKIP in Doncaster

Liberal Democrats gain 2 seats from Conservatives in Cornwall & Maidstone and 1 from Independent in Northumberland
- whilst losing a seat to Conservative in Broadland, Labour in Craven, UKIP in Worthing and another to Independent in North Yorkshire

Independents gain a seat from the Liberal Democrats in North Yorkshire and one from SNP in Argyll & Bute
- whilst losing 2 seats to Lincolnshire Independents in North Kesteven, 1 to Conservatives in East Cambridgeshire and 1 to Liberal Democrats in Northumberland

UKIP lose 2 seats to Labour in Merthyr Tydfil and Redditich and 1 to the Conservatives in Cornwall
- whilst gaining a seat from Labour in Doncaster and another from Liberal Democrats in Worthing
Greens gain a seat from the Conservatives in Herefordshire but lost another to the Conservatives in Kings Lynn & West Norfolk
SNP lose a seat to Labour in South Lanarkshire and another to Independent in Argyll & Bute
Its Our County gain a seat in Herefordshire from Conservatives along with Lincolnshire Independents 2 seat gain from Independents in North Kesteven

Newcastle-Upon-Tyne, North Jesmond - Liberal Democrat hold

Newcastle-Upon-Tyne, North Jesmond - Liberal Democrat hold

Party	2014 B votes	2014 B share	since 2014	since 2012	since 2011	since 2010
Liberal Democrat	711	52.5%	+19.9%	-4.0%	+15.2%	+5.8%
Labour	320	23.6%	-7.3%	-6.6%	-9.4%	-0.1%
Conservative	117	8.6%	-5.8%	-4.6%	-9.3%	-14.1%
UKIP	112	8.3%	+0.7%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Green	94	6.9%	-7.6%	from nowhere	-4.8%	+0.2%
Total votes	1,354		71%	78%	58%	33%

Swing Labour to Liberal Democrat 13½% since May 2014, ~1% since 2012, ~12% since 2011 and 3% since 2010

Upcoming council by elections

 Thanks to MiddleEnglander

There is just one by-election called for the last week of August along with 15 identified during September and 3 in October. The Electoral Services Department has confirmed that whilst there is a vacany in Mansfield there is as yet no date for the by-election. There are a further 17 known vacancies where the election has as yet no date plus an impending vacancy where the retiring councillor has said he will resign on 31st August to take up a new appointment.

28th August -1
Newcastle-upon-Tyne MB, North Jesmond - Liberal Democrat resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green

4th September - 3
Oxford BC, Carfax - Labour resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Shepway DC, Folkstone Harvey Central - Conservative resigned - 6 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green, TUSAC
Surrey Heath BC, Old Dean - Labour died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP

11th September - 6
Carlisle BC, Castle - Labour died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Cumbria CC, Castle - Labour died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green
Newark & Sherwood DC, Collingham & Meering - Conservative died - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP, Ind
Newark & Sherwood DC, Ollerton - Labour died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP
Newham LB, Becton - Labour died - 7 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Green, CPA, TUSAC
Valley of White Horse DC, Abingdon Dunmore - Liberal Democrat resigned - 4 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP

18th September - 3
Conwy UA, Abergele Pensarn - Labour resigned - 7 candidates: Con, Lab, UKIP, 3 x Ind, No Description
Durham UA, Crook - Independent died - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, UKIP, Ind
Oxford BC, Quarry & Risinghurst - Labour resigned

25th September - 3
Epping Forest DC, Hemnall - Conservative died
Guildford BC, Lovelace - Conservative died
Somerset CC, Frome North - Liberal Democrat resigned

2nd October - 1
Haringey LB, Woodside - Labour died

9th October - 2
Blackpool BC, Waterloo - Conservative died
Rushmoor BC, West Heath - UKIP resigned

Current known vacancies where by-election not yet called - 18
Argyll & Bute UA, Oban North & Lorn - Independent died 28th July
Bolton MB, Harper Green - Labour died 28th July
Cardiff UA, Llandaff North - Labour resigned around 13th August
Castle Point BC, Canvey Island East - Canvey Island Independent disqualified for non-attendance around 20th May
Chelmsford BC, Bicknacre & East & West Hanningfield - Conservative died 13th July
Conwy UA, Towyn - Conservative died 9th August
Cumbria CC, Windermere - Liberal Democrat died 25th July
Dartford BC, Brent - Conservative died early August
Dartford BC, Littlebrook - Labour died 14th August
Forest of Dean DC, Newnham & Westerley - Independent died 3rd August
Gloucestershire CC, Mitcheldean, Independent died 3rd August
Mansfield DC, Netherfield - Mansfield Independent Forum died 27th May
Midlothian UA, Midlothian East - Labour sitting as Independent resigned around 11th August
Mid Sussex DC, Haywards Heath Lucastes - Conservative died 6th August
Neath Port Talbot UA, Sandfields East - Labour died 12th March
North Ayrshire UA, North Coast - SNP died 1st August
South Lakeland DC - Liberal Democrat died 25th July
Thurrock BC, West Thurrock & South Stifford - Labour died 12th August

Impending vacancy
Rugby BC, Bilton - Conservative due to resign 31st August

Cheltenham, Charlton Park RESULT (LIBDEM GAIN)

Cheltenham, Charlton Park - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2012	since 2010	since 2008
Liberal Democrat	861	45.9%	-1.0%	-2.0%	+13.9%
Conservative	767	40.9%	-12.1%	-11.1%	-27.0%
UKIP	154	8.2%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Labour	46	2.5%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Green	46	2.5%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Total votes	1,874		116%	59%	99%

Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 5.5% since 2012, 4.5% since 2010 and 20% since 2008

Paul BAKER (Liberal Democrat)
John BRIDE (The Labour Party Candidate)
Justin DUNNE (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Penny HALL (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Wayne SPILLER (Green Party)

Pendle, Old Laund Booth RESULT (LIBDEM HOLD)

Pendle, Old Laund Booth - Liberal Democrat hold

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2011	since 2007	since 2003
Liberal Democrat	427	58.3%	+9.7%	-7.7%	-21.8%
Conservative	266	36.3%	-10.9%	+6.0%	+16.4%
UKIP	27	3.7%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Blue	13	1.8%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Labour			-4.2%	-3.7%
Total votes	733		97%	105%	106%

Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 10.3% since 2011 but Liberal democrat to Conservative 6.8% since 2007 and 19% since 2003

Jill HARTLEY (Conservative Party)
Kieron HARTLEY (The Blue Party)
Brian NEWMAN (Liberal Democrat)
Michael WADDINGTON (UK Independence Party)

Northamptonshire, Brixworth (CON HOLD)

Northamptonshire, Brixworth - Conservative hold

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2013
Conservative	1,297	55.4%	+4.4%
UKIP	500	21.3%	-3.7%
Labour	248	10.6%	-2.6%
Green	228	9.7%	+3.0%
Liberal Democrat	69	2.9%	-1.1%
Total votes	2,342		71%

Swing UKIP to Conservative 4.0% since 2013

Cecile IRVING-SWIFT (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Daniel JONES (Liberal Democrat)
Robert MCNALLY (The Labour Party Candidate)
Stephen POINTER (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Stephen WHIFFEN (Green Party)

Northamptonshire, Braunston & Crick RESULT (CON HOLD)

Northamptonshire, Braunston & Crick - Conservative hold

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2013
Conservative	1,019	40.5%	+6.5%
Labour	989	39.3%	+9.5%
UKIP	506	20.1%	-11.3%
Liberal Democrat			-4.7%
Total votes	2,514		85%

Swing Conservative to Labour 1.5% since 2013
- but UKIP to Conservative 8.9% as UKIP to Labour 10.4%

Abigail CAMPBELL (The Labour Party Candidate)
Malcolm LONGLEY (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Eric MACANNDRAIS (UK Independence Party (UKIP))

Northampton, St James RESULT (LAB HOLD)

Northampton, St James - Labour hold

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2011
Labour	307	31.7%	-2.9%
Liberal Democrat	262	27.1%	+9.9%
UKIP	201	20.8%	from nowhere
Conservative	198	20.5%	-11.4%
Independent			-16.4%
Total votes	968		80%

Swing Conservative to Labour 4.2% since 2011
- Labour to liberal Democrat 6.4% since 2011

Rufia ASHRAF (The Labour Party Candidate)
Jill HOPE (Liberal Democrat Focus Team)
John HOWSAM (United Kingdom Independence Party)
Andrew KILBRIDE (Conservative Party Candidate)

Colchester, Wivenhoe Quay RESULT (LAB HOLD)

Colchester, Wivenhoe Quay - Labour hold

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2012	since 2011	since 2008
Labour	857	46.7%	-5.4%	-10.3%	+18.6%
Conservative	629	34.3%	+2.4%	+8.7%	-2.5%
UKIP	129	7.0%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Liberal Democrat	127	6.9%	-0.0%	-0.8%	-0.2%
Green	90	4.9%	-4.2%	-4.8%	-23.0%
Patriotic Socialist	2	0.1%	from nowhere	from nowhere	from nowhere
Total votes	1,834		105%	82%	100%

Swing Labour to Conservative 3.9% since 2012, 9.5% since 2011 but Conservative to Labour 10.5% since 2008

Shaun BOUGHTON (Liberal Democrats)
Tim GLOVER (Green Party)
Peter HILL (Conservative Party Candidate)
Dave OSBORN (Patriotic Socialist Party)
John PITTS (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Rosalind SCOTT (The Labour Party Candidate)

North Yorkshire, Skipton West RESULT (INDY GAIN)

Roger BAXANDALL (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Paul ENGLISH (Liberal Democrat)
Claire NASH (Green Party)
Andy RANKINE (Labour Party Candidate)
Andy SOLLOWAY (Independent)
Paul WHITAKER (The Conservative Party Candidate)

 North Yorkshire, Skipton West - Independent gain from Liberal Democrat

Party	2014 votes	2014 share	since 2013	since 2009	since 2005
Independent	391	23.4%	-0.2%	Row 2 column 5	Row 2 column 6
Conservative	355	21.3%	+0.9%	Row 3 column 5	Row 3 column 6
Liberal Democrat	309	18.5%	-10.1%	Row 4 column 5	Row 4 column 6
UKIP	238	14.3%	from nowhere	Row 5 column 5	Row 5 column 6
Green	194	11.6%	-4.0%	Row 6 column 5	Row 6 column 6
Labour	181	10.9%	-0.9%	Row 7 column 5	Row 7 column 6
BNP				Row 8 column 5	Row 8 column 6
Total votes	1,668		84%	Row 9 column 5	Row 9 column 6